Ružomberokvs
Spartak Trnava
COMPLETEDSlovakia · Super Liga · 9/6/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spartak Trnava · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (12%), 0-3 (11%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ružomberok 1-1 Spartak Trnava
Original prediction
Spartak Trnava
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.39 | 27.3% | 16.3% | -11.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.49 | 26.6% | 19.5% | -7.1 pts |
| Away | 2.01 | 46.1% | 64.3% | 18.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.49 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
18.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–212%
- 2.0–311%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Spartak Trnava
Probability
64.3%
Model confidence
64.3%
Spartak Trnava has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80