GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 10/1/2023, 9:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

UCSA · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Rukh Vynnyky II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while UCSA are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and UCSA hold a 30.8-point power-rating edge (46.8 v 77.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.7% in the Druha Liga, while UCSA holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

UCSA

Probability

68.7%

Model confidence

68.7%

UCSA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rukh Vynnyky IILWWLD

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
UCSAWLDWW

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Rukh Vynnyky IIUCSA
40.0Attack79.5
54.7Defence83.3
44.0Form76.9
46.8Power77.5
0.65xG2.17
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