GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 3/23/2024, 11:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Rukh Vynnyky II are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Trostianets are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Trostianets hold a 9.4-point power-rating edge (46.8 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.5% in the Druha Liga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

34.5%

Model confidence

34.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rukh Vynnyky IIWLLWW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
TrostianetsLLLDW

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Rukh Vynnyky IITrostianets
40.0Attack33.3
54.7Defence83.3
44.0Form50.0
46.8Power56.2
1.15xG1.19
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