Rudesvs
HNK Rijeka
COMPLETEDCroatia · HNL · 10/16/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HNK Rijeka · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (8%), 1-3 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rudes 1-2 HNK Rijeka
Original prediction
HNK Rijeka
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.36 | 12.5% | 17.2% | 4.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.67 | 19.6% | 18.9% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 1.35 | 67.9% | 63.9% | -4.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.1–38%
Predicted outcome
HNK Rijeka
Probability
63.9%
Model confidence
63.9%
HNK Rijeka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RudesWDLWL
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
HNK RijekaLLWWD
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
RudesHNK Rijeka
44.4Attack58.3
7.4Defence54.2
25.9Form58.3
28.4Power57.5
1.22xG2.53