Rudesvs
HNK Hajduk Split
COMPLETEDCroatia · HNL · 9/6/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HNK Hajduk Split · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rudes 0-4 HNK Hajduk Split
Original prediction
HNK Hajduk Split
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8.85 | 10.4% | 24.9% | 14.5 pts |
| Draw | 5.30 | 17.3% | 25.1% | 7.8 pts |
| Away | 1.27 | 72.3% | 50.0% | -22.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.27 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-22.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
HNK Hajduk Split
Probability
50.0%
Model confidence
50.0%
HNK Hajduk Split has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 15 · avg 1.20/3.00
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00