Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Triglav · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (12%), 0-3 (10%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rudar 2-0 Triglav
Original prediction
Triglav
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.38 | 26.6% | 21.9% | -4.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.55 | 25.4% | 23.6% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 1.87 | 48.0% | 54.5% | 6.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–212%
- 2.0–310%
- 3.1–210%
Predicted outcome
Triglav
Probability
54.5%
Model confidence
54.5%
Triglav has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RudarLWLWL
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
TriglavWWLWL
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
RudarTriglav
0.0Attack80.0
33.3Defence68.9
0.0Form71.1
15.3Power70.6
0.81xG2.58