GGOALVIO

Slovenia · 2. SNL · 10/17/2026, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rudar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Rudar 2-0 Slovan Ljubljana

Original prediction

Rudar

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 00:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.6455.4%57.6%2.1 pts
Draw3.8623.5%20.1%-3.5 pts
Away4.3121.1%22.4%1.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.64 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

2.1 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–19%
  2. 2.1–19%
  3. 3.3–17%

Predicted outcome

Rudar

Probability

57.6%

Model confidence

57.6%

Rudar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RudarLLWWW

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Slovan LjubljanaDWWLD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
RudarSlovan Ljubljana
70.4Attack46.7
44.4Defence46.7
55.6Form56.7
56.8Power51.5
2.37xG1.39
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