Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nafta · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2
Rudar are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Nafta are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Nafta hold a 28.2-point power-rating edge (49.5 v 77.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.7% in the 2. SNL, while Nafta holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Nafta
Probability
58.7%
Model confidence
58.7%
Nafta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80