Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rudar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rudar 3-1 Dravinja
Original prediction
Rudar
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.47 | 61.6% | 43.5% | -18.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.13 | 21.9% | 27.5% | 5.6 pts |
| Away | 5.48 | 16.5% | 29.0% | 12.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.47 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-18.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Rudar
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
43.5%
Rudar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RudarWWLWL
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
DravinjaWLDLL
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
RudarDravinja
0.0Attack0.0
33.3Defence33.3
0.0Form0.0
15.3Power15.3
1.53xG1.31