GGOALVIO

Montenegro · First League · 8/5/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Buducnost Podgorica · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Rudar are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Buducnost Podgorica are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Buducnost Podgorica hold a 24.0-point power-rating edge (35.3 v 59.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.0% in the First League, while Buducnost Podgorica holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Buducnost Podgorica

Probability

63.0%

Model confidence

63.0%

Buducnost Podgorica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RudarLLWLD

GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Buducnost PodgoricaLLLLW

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
RudarBuducnost Podgorica
23.1Attack61.1
50.0Defence60.2
25.0Form56.5
35.3Power59.2
0.58xG1.80
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