Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rudar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rudar 4-1 Bilje
Original prediction
Rudar
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.92 | 47.1% | 39.2% | -7.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 27.0% | 27.3% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 3.49 | 25.9% | 33.6% | 7.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.92 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Rudar
Probability
39.2%
Model confidence
39.2%
Rudar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RudarLWLLD
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
BiljeLWWLW
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
RudarBilje
0.0Attack50.0
33.3Defence16.7
0.0Form50.0
15.3Power42.7
1.52xG1.50