Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rudar · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Rudar are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Bilje are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Rudar hold a 9.4-point power-rating edge (49.5 v 40.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.1% in the 2. SNL, while Rudar holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rudar
Probability
61.5%
Model confidence
14.1%
Rudar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00