Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rudar · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rudar 4-0 Berane
Original prediction
Rudar
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.95 | 46.5% | 50.6% | 4.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.27 | 27.7% | 25.9% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 3.52 | 25.8% | 23.5% | -2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.95 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Rudar
Probability
50.6%
Model confidence
50.6%
Rudar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RudarLDWDD
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
BeraneLLDDL
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
RudarBerane
41.7Attack20.8
41.7Defence41.7
37.5Form8.3
42.7Power27.1
1.62xG0.87