GGOALVIO

Montenegro · First League · 7/23/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Arsenal Tivat · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Rudar are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Arsenal Tivat are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Arsenal Tivat hold an 8.4-point power-rating edge (35.3 v 43.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.5% in the First League, while Arsenal Tivat holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Arsenal Tivat

Probability

38.5%

Model confidence

38.5%

Arsenal Tivat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RudarWLDWW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Arsenal TivatLDLWW

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
RudarArsenal Tivat
23.1Attack39.8
50.0Defence46.3
25.0Form38.9
35.3Power43.6
0.82xG1.12
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