Ruch Chorzówvs
Unia Skierniewice
COMPLETEDPoland · I Liga · 9/7/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ruch Chorzów · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ruch Chorzów 3-1 Unia Skierniewice
Original prediction
Ruch Chorzów
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.70 | 53.7% | 43.5% | -10.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.68 | 24.8% | 26.9% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 4.23 | 21.6% | 29.6% | 8.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.70 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Ruch Chorzów
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
43.5%
Ruch Chorzów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20