Ruch Chorzówvs
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
COMPLETEDPoland · I Liga · 10/25/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ruch Chorzów · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Ruch Chorzów 0-0 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Ruch Chorzów 2-0 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Original prediction
Ruch Chorzów
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.60 | 56.9% | 36.7% | -20.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.88 | 23.4% | 29.6% | 6.2 pts |
| Away | 4.60 | 19.8% | 33.7% | 13.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.60 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-20.1 pts
Projected Score
Ruch Chorzów 0–0 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Ruch Chorzów
Probability
36.7%
Model confidence
36.7%
Ruch Chorzów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20