Ruch Chorzówvs
Podbeskidzie
COMPLETEDPoland · I Liga · 9/12/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ruch Chorzów · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ruch Chorzów 3-3 Podbeskidzie
Original prediction
Ruch Chorzów
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.94 | 47.2% | 39.1% | -8.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 26.4% | 26.5% | 0.0 pts |
| Away | 3.47 | 26.3% | 34.4% | 8.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.46 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Ruch Chorzów
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
Ruch Chorzów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40