Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Olimpia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Rubio NU 0-2 Olimpia, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Rubio NU 0-0 Olimpia
Original prediction
Olimpia
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 13:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.22 | 21.8% | 12.2% | -9.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.59 | 25.6% | 19.7% | -5.9 pts |
| Away | 1.74 | 52.6% | 68.2% | 15.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.59 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.5 pts
Projected Score
Rubio NU 0–2 Olimpia
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Olimpia
Probability
68.2%
Model confidence
68.2%
Olimpia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Rubio NUWLDLL
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
OlimpiaDDWWW
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Rubio NUOlimpia
38.5Attack56.4
38.5Defence74.4
30.8Form66.7
38.2Power65.7
0.58xG2.06