Rubio NUvs
Nacional Asuncion
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Profesional - Clausura · 9/13/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nacional Asuncion · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (14%), 0-1 (13%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rubio NU 0-1 Nacional Asuncion
Original prediction
Nacional Asuncion
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.25 | 28.1% | 16.0% | -12.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.00 | 30.5% | 21.8% | -8.7 pts |
| Away | 2.21 | 41.4% | 62.2% | 20.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.21 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
20.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–214%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Nacional Asuncion
Probability
62.2%
Model confidence
62.2%
Nacional Asuncion has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 10 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.20