Rubio NUvs
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Profesional - Clausura · 9/1/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rubio NU · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rubio NU 3-1 Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Original prediction
Rubio NU
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.77 | 52.0% | 43.6% | -8.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 27.3% | 27.7% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 4.45 | 20.7% | 28.7% | 8.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.77 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Rubio NU
Probability
43.6%
Model confidence
43.6%
Rubio NU has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 1 · GA 8 · avg 0.20/1.60