Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
2 de Mayo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Rubio NU 0-1 2 de Mayo, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Rubio NU 2-2 2 de Mayo
Original prediction
2 de Mayo
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.62 | 34.8% | 22.1% | -12.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.06 | 29.7% | 26.9% | -2.8 pts |
| Away | 2.56 | 35.5% | 51.0% | 15.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.06 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.5 pts
Projected Score
Rubio NU 0–1 2 de Mayo
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
2 de Mayo
Probability
51.0%
Model confidence
51.0%
2 de Mayo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Rubio NULLLWL
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
2 de MayoLLLWD
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Rubio NU2 de Mayo
33.3Attack36.4
36.4Defence66.7
24.2Form63.6
33.7Power58.6
0.66xG1.37