GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 1 · 4/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pobeda · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Rubin Yalta are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Pobeda are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Pobeda hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (53.8 v 56.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.0% in the Second League - Group 1, while Pobeda holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pobeda

Probability

36.0%

Model confidence

36.0%

Pobeda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rubin YaltaDLWWL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
PobedaDLLLL

GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Rubin YaltaPobeda
43.9Attack64.7
63.2Defence56.9
49.1Form52.9
53.8Power56.8
1.20xG1.31
View match centre →