Rubin Yaltavs
Pobeda
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 1 · 4/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pobeda · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Rubin Yalta are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Pobeda are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Pobeda hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (53.8 v 56.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.0% in the Second League - Group 1, while Pobeda holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Pobeda
Probability
36.0%
Model confidence
36.0%
Pobeda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20