Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rubin · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Rubin are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Zhenys are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Rubin hold a 54.3-point power-rating edge (72.8 v 18.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Rubin holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rubin
Probability
62.2%
Model confidence
62.2%
Rubin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40