Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rubin · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Rubin are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Struga are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Rubin hold a 23.4-point power-rating edge (72.8 v 49.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Rubin holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rubin
Probability
52.2%
Model confidence
52.2%
Rubin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60