GGOALVIO

Russia · Premier League · 8/5/2023, 2:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Spartak Moscow · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Rubin are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Spartak Moscow are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Spartak Moscow hold a 41.8-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 89.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.0% in the Premier League, while Spartak Moscow holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Spartak Moscow

Probability

46.0%

Model confidence

46.0%

Spartak Moscow has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RubinDLDLD

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Spartak MoscowWWWWD

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
RubinSpartak Moscow
50.0Attack83.3
33.3Defence83.3
50.0Form100.0
47.8Power89.7
1.17xG1.69
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