Premier LeaguePremier League
Sunday, 17 May 2026Last updated 10:11
Rubin

Rubin

Home
D
22
Full time
Nizhny Novgorod

Nizhny Novgorod

Away
DL
Ak Bars Arena
GoalVio prediction
54% confidence
Rubin(54%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction missed— Result: Draw
Win probability
Rubin
54%
Draw
25%
Nizhny Novgorod
21%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Rubin
34
Nizhny Novgorod
54
Defence
Rubin
66
Nizhny Novgorod
27
Momentum
Rubin
33
Nizhny Novgorod
17
Danger (xG)
Rubin
0.90
Nizhny Novgorod
1.35
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Rubin)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Nizhny Novgorod)
1.35
avg per match
xG against (Rubin)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Nizhny Novgorod)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
RubinRubin
DDLWD
Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod
DL

Probability breakdown

54% confidence
Rubin54%
Draw25%
Nizhny Novgorod21%

Rubin leads with 54% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Rubin head into this in Premier League fixture at Ak Bars Arena in mixed form (D), while Nizhny Novgorod arrive in mixed form (DL). Rubin have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Nizhny Novgorod over 2 games.

The model rates Rubin's attack at 34/100 against a 27/100 Nizhny Novgorod defence, and Nizhny Novgorod's attack at 54/100 against a 66/100 Rubin backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Rubin have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 3 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per home match. Nizhny Novgorod have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

Rubin have generated 0.00 xG per game recently while conceding 0.00 xG per match.

The last 1 meetings between these sides have been evenly split, with 1 draw, averaging 4.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Rubin to win with 54% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Rubin 5380%, Draw 2530%, Nizhny Novgorod 2090%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Rubin 0Draws 10 Nizhny Novgorod
Avg goals: 4.0BTTS in 1/1
17 May 2026
Rubin
D22
Nizhny Novgorod

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Nizhny Novgorod

Nizhny Novgorod

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Frequently asked questions

Who will win Rubin vs Nizhny Novgorod?

GoalVio's model predicts Rubin to win with 54% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Rubin vs Nizhny Novgorod?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Rubin vs Nizhny Novgorod?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Rubin vs Nizhny Novgorod?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more