Rubinvs
Krylia Sovetov
COMPLETEDRussia · Premier League · 10/24/2026, 2:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rubin · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rubin 0-2 Krylia Sovetov
Original prediction
Rubin
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.34 | 40.4% | 37.3% | -3.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 28.8% | 27.5% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 3.08 | 30.8% | 35.2% | 4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Rubin
Probability
37.3%
Model confidence
37.3%
Rubin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RubinLLLDD
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Krylia SovetovLLDWD
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
RubinKrylia Sovetov
36.4Attack45.5
51.5Defence48.5
36.4Form36.4
43.5Power45.1
1.20xG1.21