Rubinvs
FC Orenburg
COMPLETEDRussia · Cup · 10/15/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Orenburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rubin 1-4 FC Orenburg
Original prediction
FC Orenburg
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.97 | 47.6% | 36.1% | -11.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 27.4% | 26.4% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 3.73 | 25.1% | 37.6% | 12.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.73 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
FC Orenburg
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
37.6%
FC Orenburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00