Rubinvs
FC Orenburg
COMPLETEDRussia · Premier League · 7/30/2023, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rubin · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Rubin are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while FC Orenburg are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Rubin hold a 4.0-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 43.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.1% in the Premier League, while Rubin holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rubin
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
Rubin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 8 · GA 15 · avg 1.60/3.00