Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dynamo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (14%), 0-0 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rubin 0-1 Dynamo
Original prediction
Dynamo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.99 | 23.8% | 26.8% | 3.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 27.2% | 28.3% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 1.94 | 49.0% | 44.8% | -4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.94 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–114%
- 3.0–014%
Predicted outcome
Dynamo
Probability
44.8%
Model confidence
44.8%
Dynamo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RubinDDDDW
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 5/5O2.5 1/5
DynamoWWWWW
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
RubinDynamo
44.4Attack51.9
59.3Defence70.4
44.4Form70.4
51.7Power65.3
0.86xG1.22