Rubinvs
Dinamo Makhachkala
COMPLETEDRussia · Premier League · 8/30/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dinamo Makhachkala · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rubin 3-1 Dinamo Makhachkala
Original prediction
Dinamo Makhachkala
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.37 | 40.1% | 33.5% | -6.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.05 | 31.2% | 28.1% | -3.1 pts |
| Away | 3.32 | 28.7% | 38.4% | 9.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Dinamo Makhachkala
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Dinamo Makhachkala has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60