GGOALVIO

Russia · Youth Championship · 9/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rubin Kazan U20 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Rubin Kazan U20 0-4 Ural U20

Original prediction

Rubin Kazan U20

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.1941.3%40.2%-1.1 pts
Draw3.5325.7%25.6%-0.0 pts
Away2.7433.0%34.2%1.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-1.1 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–110%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.1–28%

Predicted outcome

Rubin Kazan U20

Probability

40.2%

Model confidence

40.2%

Rubin Kazan U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rubin Kazan U20LLLWL

GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Ural U20LLLLL

GF 5 · GA 17 · avg 1.00/3.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Rubin Kazan U20Ural U20
38.1Attack37.9
22.2Defence24.2
23.8Form28.8
30.8Power33.1
1.88xG1.67
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