Rubin Kazan U20vs
Spartak Moskva U19
COMPLETEDRussia · Youth Championship · 10/16/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spartak Moskva U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rubin Kazan U20 4-2 Spartak Moskva U19
Original prediction
Spartak Moskva U19
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.56 | 19.8% | 19.8% | -0.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.33 | 20.8% | 19.7% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 1.52 | 59.3% | 60.5% | 1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Spartak Moskva U19
Probability
60.5%
Model confidence
60.5%
Spartak Moskva U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 16 · avg 0.40/3.20
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00