Rubin Kazan U20vs
Krasnodar U19
COMPLETEDRussia · Youth Championship · 9/23/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Krasnodar U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-4 (9%), 1-3 (9%), 1-5 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rubin Kazan U20 2-4 Krasnodar U19
Original prediction
Krasnodar U19
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.47 | 12.1% | 16.8% | 4.7 pts |
| Draw | 5.22 | 17.3% | 18.9% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 1.28 | 70.6% | 64.3% | -6.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.28 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–49%
- 2.1–39%
- 3.1–57%
Predicted outcome
Krasnodar U19
Probability
64.3%
Model confidence
64.3%
Krasnodar U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40