GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 4 · 5/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Orenburg II · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Rubin Kazan 2 are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Orenburg II are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Orenburg II hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (41.3 v 45.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.6% in the Second League - Group 4, while Orenburg II holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Orenburg II

Probability

34.6%

Model confidence

34.6%

Orenburg II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rubin Kazan 2WDDLL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Orenburg IIWDWDD

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Rubin Kazan 2Orenburg II
36.7Attack46.7
50.0Defence46.7
33.3Form38.3
41.3Power45.1
1.24xG1.29
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