GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 4 · 7/29/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Orenburg II · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Rubin Kazan 2 are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 1.50 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Orenburg II are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 3 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and Orenburg II hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (41.3 v 45.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.6% in the Second League - Group 4, while Orenburg II holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Orenburg II

Probability

34.6%

Model confidence

34.6%

Orenburg II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rubin Kazan 2DW

GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 1.50/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 0/2
Orenburg IID

GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 0/1
Rubin Kazan 2Orenburg II
36.7Attack46.7
50.0Defence46.7
33.3Form38.3
41.3Power45.1
1.24xG1.29
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