GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 4 · 9/13/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rubin Kazan 2 · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Rubin Kazan 2 2-0 Nosta

Original prediction

Rubin Kazan 2

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 18:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.7252.5%58.3%5.8 pts
Draw3.7024.4%22.3%-2.1 pts
Away3.9223.1%19.4%-3.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.72 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

5.8 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–112%
  2. 2.1–012%
  3. 3.2–011%

Predicted outcome

Rubin Kazan 2

Probability

58.3%

Model confidence

58.3%

Rubin Kazan 2 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rubin Kazan 2LWLLL

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
NostaLWDDW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Rubin Kazan 2Nosta
38.9Attack30.6
47.2Defence30.6
31.9Form29.2
40.8Power33.4
1.77xG0.87
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