GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 4 · 8/6/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rubin Kazan 2 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Rubin Kazan 2 are 1W-2D-0L in their last 3 (DDW), averaging 1.67 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Nosta are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Rubin Kazan 2 hold a 12.6-point power-rating edge (41.3 v 28.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.3% in the Second League - Group 4, while Rubin Kazan 2 holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Rubin Kazan 2

Probability

60.3%

Model confidence

60.3%

Rubin Kazan 2 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rubin Kazan 2DDW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.67/1.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 1/3
NostaDDWLW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Rubin Kazan 2Nosta
36.7Attack26.7
50.0Defence25.0
33.3Form23.3
41.3Power28.6
1.83xG0.71
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