GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 4 · 9/27/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rubin Kazan 2 · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 2-1 (8%), 0-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Rubin Kazan 2 2-1 Izhevsk

Original prediction

Rubin Kazan 2

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 18:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.3738.4%36.3%-2.1 pts
Draw3.5026.0%28.8%2.9 pts
Away2.5535.7%34.9%-0.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.37 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-2.1 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.2–18%
  3. 3.0–08%

Predicted outcome

Rubin Kazan 2

Probability

36.3%

Model confidence

36.3%

Rubin Kazan 2 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rubin Kazan 2DWLWL

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
IzhevskWWLLD

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Rubin Kazan 2Izhevsk
42.3Attack44.9
47.4Defence50.0
34.6Form37.2
42.8Power45.7
1.35xG1.30
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