Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dornbirn · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-3 (9%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Röthis 2-2 Dornbirn
Original prediction
Dornbirn
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.50 | 20.0% | 24.0% | 4.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.09 | 22.0% | 25.0% | 3.0 pts |
| Away | 1.55 | 58.0% | 51.0% | -7.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.09 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–39%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Dornbirn
Probability
51.0%
Model confidence
51.0%
Dornbirn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RöthisDDWLL
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
DornbirnWWWWW
GF 19 · GA 2 · avg 3.80/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
RöthisDornbirn
50.0Attack100.0
33.3Defence83.3
44.4Form88.9
45.2Power86.9
1.14xG2.81