Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nasaf W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
RTC W are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Nasaf W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Nasaf W hold a 26.3-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.9% in the AFC Women's Champions League, while Nasaf W holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Nasaf W
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
11.9%
Nasaf W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00