Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Paro · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
RTC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 3.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Paro are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Paro hold a 30.2-point power-rating edge (51.3 v 81.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.6% in the Premier League, while Paro holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Paro
Probability
69.1%
Model confidence
13.6%
Paro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 19 · GA 7 · avg 3.80/1.40
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20