Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Paro · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
RTC are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (WLL), averaging 2.67 scored and 2.33 conceded, while Paro are 3W-0D-1L in their last 4 (LWWW), averaging 3.25 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Paro hold a 30.2-point power-rating edge (51.3 v 81.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.0% in the Premier League, while Paro holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Paro
Probability
67.0%
Model confidence
67.0%
Paro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 2.67/2.33
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 3.25/1.00