Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Drukpa · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
RTC are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Drukpa are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (LDWW), averaging 2.25 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 51.3 against 53.2. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.7% in the Premier League, while Drukpa holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Drukpa
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
13.7%
Drukpa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 2.25/1.00