Résidence Walferdangevs
US Mondorf-les-bains
COMPLETEDLuxembourg · National Division · 9/16/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
US Mondorf-les-bains · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Résidence Walferdange 2-1 US Mondorf-les-bains
Original prediction
US Mondorf-les-bains
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.89 | 23.1% | 34.7% | 11.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 24.8% | 23.3% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 1.73 | 52.1% | 42.0% | -10.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
US Mondorf-les-bains
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
42.0%
US Mondorf-les-bains has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00