Résidence Walferdangevs
UNA Strassen
COMPLETEDLuxembourg · National Division · 9/6/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
UNA Strassen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Résidence Walferdange 0-3 UNA Strassen
Original prediction
UNA Strassen
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.64 | 25.6% | 32.6% | 7.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.90 | 23.9% | 25.0% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 1.84 | 50.6% | 42.4% | -8.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.84 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
UNA Strassen
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
UNA Strassen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 10 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.20