RSD Alcalávs
SS Reyes
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · 10/24/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SS Reyes · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
RSD Alcalá 1-2 SS Reyes
Original prediction
SS Reyes
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 19:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.50 | 36.4% | 32.8% | -3.6 pts |
| Draw | 2.98 | 30.5% | 29.6% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.75 | 33.1% | 37.6% | 4.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.75 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
SS Reyes
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
37.6%
SS Reyes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20