RSD Alcalávs
Real Madrid III
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · 10/18/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
RSD Alcalá · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
RSD Alcalá 0-0 Real Madrid III
Original prediction
RSD Alcalá
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.97 | 45.9% | 41.8% | -4.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.16 | 28.6% | 28.8% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 3.56 | 25.5% | 29.4% | 3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.16 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
RSD Alcalá
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
41.8%
RSD Alcalá has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.20/0.80