RSD Alcalávs
Gimnástica Segoviana
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · 9/20/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
RSD Alcalá · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-0 (15%), 1-1 (15%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
RSD Alcalá 5-2 Gimnástica Segoviana
Original prediction
RSD Alcalá
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.99 | 45.5% | 39.0% | -6.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.96 | 30.6% | 30.7% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 3.79 | 23.9% | 30.3% | 6.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.99 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–015%
- 2.1–115%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
RSD Alcalá
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
RSD Alcalá has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00