Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nosaby · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-3 (9%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Räppe 1-2 Nosaby
Original prediction
Nosaby
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 16:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.82 | 32.0% | 18.5% | -13.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.65 | 24.8% | 17.8% | -7.0 pts |
| Away | 2.09 | 43.2% | 63.8% | 20.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.09 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
20.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–39%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Nosaby
Probability
63.8%
Model confidence
63.8%
Nosaby has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RäppeLDWLL
GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
NosabyWWDLW
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
RäppeNosaby
34.7Attack62.5
26.4Defence45.8
25.0Form54.2
31.2Power53.8
1.16xG2.76