Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Räppe · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Räppe are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Karlshamn are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Räppe hold an 8.6-point power-rating edge (34.7 v 26.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.0% in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland, while Räppe holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Räppe
Probability
51.5%
Model confidence
12.0%
Räppe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80